It is over seven years since Tsar Putin annexed the Crimea. See:
https://www.kevilldavies.com/2014/03/ukraine-some-thoughts.html
Not much has changed. He still wants to restore the old Russian empire with him acknowledged as the Tsar.
I have a sneaking feeling that the rumour is true; that he will indulge Xi Jinping's request that he holds his forces back until after the Chinese Winter Olympics and to coincide with the Chinese leader's move on Taiwan exposing the US to trouble on two fronts. Putin too sees the opportunity as the Europeans, weakened by covid and disastrously high energy costs will baulk at helping a Country, Ukraine, not within the NATO umbrella.
We live in very dangerous times, requiring strong leadership. UK politicians should remember the old adage: when in a rowing boat full of armless men, do not throw overboard the man with two arms.
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